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17 Feb 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.3%
Annan Athletic
25.6%
Draw
29.0%
Stirling

Expected Goals (xG)

1.65

Annan Athletic

vs
1.28

Stirling

Markets

BTTS59.1%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.0%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
0-1
6.1%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).