Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.3%
Brest
24.0%
Draw
52.7%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Brest
vs
1.64
Lens
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.1%
1-1
11.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
1-0
7.5%
0-0
6.9%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).