Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.5%
M'gladbach
26.9%
Draw
27.6%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
M'gladbach
vs
1.16
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS55.2%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.0%
0-0
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).