Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.3%
Nantes
22.1%
Draw
30.6%
Saint-Étienne
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Nantes
vs
1.37
Saint-Étienne
Markets
BTTS61.0%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.560.3%
Over 3.537.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
6.8%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
5.4%
0-2
4.1%
3-0
4.0%
0-0
3.8%
3-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).