Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.3%
Rochdale
22.8%
Draw
11.9%
Boston Utd
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Rochdale
vs
0.68
Boston Utd
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.6%
1-0
13.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
8.6%
0-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
4.4%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).