Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.7%
Ascoli
30.1%
Draw
23.2%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Ascoli
vs
0.89
Empoli
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
13.0%
0-0
11.7%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).