Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.6%
Cartagena
28.1%
Draw
37.2%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Cartagena
vs
1.17
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
0-1
12.0%
1-0
11.4%
0-0
10.0%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
2.8%
0-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).