Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.5%
Katowice
22.8%
Draw
16.7%
Arka Gdynia
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Katowice
vs
0.97
Arka Gdynia
Markets
BTTS54.7%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
10.0%
1-0
9.3%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
0-1
4.1%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).