Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.8%
Bristol Rvs
21.1%
Draw
59.1%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Bristol Rvs
vs
1.93
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS53.9%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.4%
0-3
6.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.2%
2-2
5.0%
0-0
4.9%
2-3
3.2%
1-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).