Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.2%
Hull
24.2%
Draw
19.6%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Hull
vs
1.03
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS55.2%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
1-0
9.4%
0-0
6.4%
3-1
6.2%
3-0
6.0%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
5.1%
0-1
4.8%
3-2
3.2%
0-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).