Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.8%
Strasbourg
14.4%
Draw
8.7%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.55
Strasbourg
vs
0.74
Troyes
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.563.9%
Over 3.541.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.1%
3-0
10.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-1
7.6%
1-1
6.8%
4-0
6.6%
4-1
4.9%
0-0
3.5%
5-0
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
0-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).