Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.8%
Le Havre
22.3%
Draw
64.9%
Aris
Expected Goals (xG)
0.61
Le Havre
vs
1.73
Aris
Markets
BTTS37.1%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.0%
0-2
14.5%
1-1
9.9%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
0-3
8.3%
1-0
6.1%
1-3
5.0%
0-4
3.6%
2-1
3.1%
2-2
2.7%
1-4
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).