Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.6%
Sirius
15.2%
Draw
14.3%
Värnamo
Expected Goals (xG)
3.23
Sirius
vs
1.51
Värnamo
Markets
BTTS75.3%
Over 0.598.7%
Over 1.595.4%
Over 2.585.1%
Over 3.569.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
7.4%
2-1
6.9%
4-1
6.0%
3-2
5.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-0
4.9%
1-1
4.7%
2-0
4.6%
4-2
4.5%
4-0
4.0%
5-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).