Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.2%
St. Gilloise
17.5%
Draw
6.3%
Kortrijk
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
St. Gilloise
vs
0.48
Kortrijk
Markets
BTTS33.9%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.7%
1-0
15.0%
3-0
12.1%
2-1
8.0%
1-1
7.8%
0-0
7.6%
4-0
6.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
0-1
3.0%
5-0
2.8%
2-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).