Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.3%
Bari
31.6%
Draw
44.2%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Bari
vs
1.26
Modena
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.516.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-1
13.8%
0-0
13.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
5.6%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.0%
2-2
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).