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01 Dec 2023 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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67.4%
Schalke 04
22.2%
Draw
10.4%
Osnabruck

Expected Goals (xG)

1.93

Schalke 04

vs
0.63

Osnabruck

Markets

BTTS40.9%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.4%
1-0
14.0%
1-1
10.3%
3-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-0
4.5%
0-1
4.0%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.9%
4-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).