Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.4%
Le Mans
26.9%
Draw
26.7%
Red Star
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Le Mans
vs
0.87
Red Star
Markets
BTTS40.4%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.535.6%
Over 3.516.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.1%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.4%
0-0
10.9%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).