Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.9%
Palermo
19.0%
Draw
8.1%
Cosenza
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
Palermo
vs
0.61
Cosenza
Markets
BTTS41.3%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.6%
1-0
12.5%
3-0
10.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-0
5.8%
4-1
3.6%
0-1
2.9%
2-2
2.7%
5-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).