Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.4%
Torino
17.9%
Draw
18.7%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
2.48
Torino
vs
1.30
Crotone
Markets
BTTS66.6%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.589.0%
Over 2.572.9%
Over 3.552.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.1%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-0
7.0%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
5.8%
1-0
5.8%
3-2
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
4-1
4.7%
4-0
3.6%
0-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).