Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.2%
Verona
18.9%
Draw
69.9%
Napoli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Verona
vs
2.06
Napoli
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.8%
0-1
13.5%
0-3
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
1-1
8.9%
1-3
6.4%
0-0
6.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-0
4.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
2-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).