Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.9%
Bologna
19.8%
Draw
12.4%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99
Bologna
vs
0.71
Monza
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
2-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
9.3%
3-0
8.9%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.3%
0-1
4.9%
4-0
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
3.3%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).