Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.1%
Peterboro
21.3%
Draw
32.6%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Peterboro
vs
1.45
Reading
Markets
BTTS62.8%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.540.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
3.9%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).