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AHT: 00CSV

27 Oct 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.1%
Airdrie Utd
23.9%
Draw
22.0%
Stenhousemuir

Expected Goals (xG)

1.87

Airdrie Utd

vs
1.13

Stenhousemuir

Markets

BTTS57.9%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.7%
1-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-0
5.4%
0-1
4.9%
3-2
3.5%
0-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).