Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.5%
Pordenone
25.4%
Draw
59.1%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Pordenone
vs
1.74
Lecce
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.8%
0-2
12.1%
1-1
12.0%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
9.1%
0-3
7.0%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
0-4
3.1%
2-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).