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AHT: 01CSV

23 Dec 2020 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.5%
Erzurum BB
36.1%
Draw
25.4%
Denizlispor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

Erzurum BB

vs
0.93

Denizlispor

Markets

BTTS45.7%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.6%
0-0
15.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).