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AHT: 02CSV

27 Dec 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.4%
St Truiden
28.0%
Draw
26.6%
Antwerp

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

St Truiden

vs
1.04

Antwerp

Markets

BTTS50.0%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
1-0
11.4%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
1-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).