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19 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.0%
La Coruna
23.9%
Draw
21.1%
Mirandes

Expected Goals (xG)

1.69

La Coruna

vs
0.94

Mirandes

Markets

BTTS49.6%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.1%
0-1
6.9%
3-0
5.8%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).