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DHT: 20CSV

01 Sept 2025 · 20:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.9%
Leganes
29.9%
Draw
32.2%
La Coruna

Expected Goals (xG)

1.09

Leganes

vs
0.98

La Coruna

Markets

BTTS41.4%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.534.3%
Over 3.515.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.9%
1-1
13.3%
0-1
12.5%
0-0
12.4%
2-0
7.5%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-0
2.7%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).