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02 Apr 2023 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.1%
Clermont
25.4%
Draw
14.5%
Ajaccio

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

Clermont

vs
0.55

Ajaccio

Markets

BTTS31.7%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.558.8%
Over 2.532.3%
Over 3.514.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
20.3%
2-0
14.3%
0-0
12.9%
1-1
10.2%
0-1
8.0%
2-1
7.8%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
4-0
2.5%
2-2
2.1%
0-2
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).