Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.4%
Bastia
24.1%
Draw
57.6%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71
Bastia
vs
1.51
Metz
Markets
BTTS38.7%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-1
10.7%
0-0
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
8.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-1
4.1%
2-2
3.1%
2-0
2.7%
0-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).