Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.7%
Montpellier
27.7%
Draw
49.6%
Nantes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Montpellier
vs
1.33
Nantes
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.535.6%
Over 3.516.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.3%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
11.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-0
9.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
5.0%
0-3
4.7%
2-0
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-2
3.3%
0-4
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).