Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.4%
Brescia
29.4%
Draw
37.2%
Catanzaro
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Brescia
vs
1.30
Catanzaro
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-0
9.3%
0-1
9.2%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).