Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.4%
Southampton
25.7%
Draw
28.9%
Sheffield United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Southampton
vs
1.31
Sheffield United
Markets
BTTS60.6%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.535.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.9%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).