Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.8%
Morecambe
49.7%
Draw
25.5%
Bradford
Expected Goals (xG)
0.43
Morecambe
vs
0.44
Bradford
Markets
BTTS12.2%
Over 0.558.3%
Over 1.521.4%
Over 2.55.8%
Over 3.51.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
41.7%
0-1
18.7%
1-0
18.3%
1-1
7.7%
0-2
4.1%
2-0
3.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-1
1.7%
0-3
0.6%
3-0
0.6%
2-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).