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AHT: 12

07 Dec 2024 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.6%
Chornomorets
22.0%
Draw
65.4%
Kryvbas

Expected Goals (xG)

0.68

Chornomorets

vs
1.86

Kryvbas

Markets

BTTS42.0%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.3%
0-2
13.7%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.3%
0-3
8.5%
0-0
8.1%
1-3
5.8%
1-0
5.0%
0-4
4.0%
2-1
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
1-4
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).