Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.2%
Oxford City
21.6%
Draw
53.2%
Aldershot
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Oxford City
vs
2.23
Aldershot
Markets
BTTS70.4%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.589.5%
Over 2.572.3%
Over 3.551.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-1
6.0%
0-2
5.9%
2-3
5.0%
0-1
4.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.7%
3-2
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).