Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.3%
Cremonese
23.6%
Draw
16.1%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Cremonese
vs
0.91
Benevento
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
2-0
10.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.0%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.5%
0-1
4.3%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).