Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.7%
Hertha
19.1%
Draw
67.2%
Dortmund
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Hertha
vs
2.37
Dortmund
Markets
BTTS57.8%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.543.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
1-1
8.8%
0-3
7.6%
1-3
7.6%
0-1
7.6%
2-2
4.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-4
4.5%
0-0
4.1%
2-1
4.1%
2-3
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).