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27 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.4%
Forfar
27.2%
Draw
44.3%
Montrose

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Forfar

vs
1.50

Montrose

Markets

BTTS54.0%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
0-2
7.9%
0-0
7.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
5.3%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).