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10 May 2026 · 00:00

Pisa

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.0%
Cremonese
31.1%
Draw
30.9%
Pisa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Cremonese

vs
0.89

Pisa

Markets

BTTS37.6%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.556.8%
Over 2.530.0%
Over 3.512.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.3%
0-0
14.5%
0-1
13.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-0
7.7%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-0
2.6%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).