Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.0%
Hertha
30.4%
Draw
36.6%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Hertha
vs
1.18
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
11.1%
0-1
10.9%
1-0
10.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
0-3
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).