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29 Sept 2025 · 17:10

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.3%
Öster
28.7%
Draw
54.1%
IFK Göteborg

Expected Goals (xG)

0.75

Öster

vs
1.51

IFK Göteborg

Markets

BTTS42.2%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.5%
1-1
13.1%
0-2
11.9%
0-0
11.8%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
6.6%
0-3
6.0%
1-3
4.5%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
3.3%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).