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DHT: 10CSV

31 Mar 2024 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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79.9%
Stuttgart
13.4%
Draw
6.7%
Heidenheim

Expected Goals (xG)

2.84

Stuttgart

vs
0.75

Heidenheim

Markets

BTTS50.1%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.587.8%
Over 2.569.6%
Over 3.548.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.1%
3-0
10.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-0
7.5%
1-0
7.4%
1-1
6.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-0
4.3%
5-1
3.2%
0-0
3.1%
2-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).