Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.9%
Hertha
26.8%
Draw
36.3%
M'gladbach
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Hertha
vs
1.42
M'gladbach
Markets
BTTS58.5%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
7.4%
0-1
7.3%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
6.0%
2-0
5.9%
0-2
5.8%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.9%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).