Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.7%
Willenhall Town
11.0%
Draw
83.3%
Hednesford Town
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Willenhall Town
vs
2.92
Hednesford Town
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.547.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.0%
0-3
11.7%
0-4
8.5%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
1-3
7.6%
1-4
5.6%
1-1
5.2%
0-5
5.0%
1-5
3.2%
0-0
2.6%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).