Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.0%
Porto
17.8%
Draw
7.2%
Guimaraes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Porto
vs
0.42
Guimaraes
Markets
BTTS29.3%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.3%
2-0
17.7%
3-0
11.7%
0-0
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
1-1
7.3%
4-0
5.8%
3-1
4.9%
0-1
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-0
2.3%
1-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).