Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.7%
Chertsey Town
18.8%
Draw
46.4%
Thame
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Chertsey Town
vs
2.42
Thame
Markets
BTTS79.8%
Over 0.599.1%
Over 1.593.8%
Over 2.582.9%
Over 3.566.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2
7.0%
1-2
6.7%
2-1
5.8%
2-3
5.7%
1-3
5.4%
1-1
5.4%
3-2
4.9%
3-1
4.1%
3-3
4.0%
2-4
3.4%
1-4
3.3%
0-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).