Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →88.0%
Celta
8.8%
Draw
3.2%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
3.20
Celta
vs
0.52
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS39.3%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.571.8%
Over 3.551.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
13.2%
2-0
12.4%
4-0
10.5%
1-0
7.6%
3-1
6.9%
5-0
6.7%
2-1
6.5%
4-1
5.5%
1-1
4.2%
5-1
3.5%
0-0
2.6%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).