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AHT: 00CSV

08 Apr 2021 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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69.2%
Hannover
19.3%
Draw
11.5%
Wurzburger Kickers

Expected Goals (xG)

2.32

Hannover

vs
0.86

Wurzburger Kickers

Markets

BTTS52.9%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.561.6%
Over 3.539.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.1%
1-0
8.8%
3-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
5.0%
0-0
5.0%
4-1
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
3-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).