Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.4%
Sheffield Weds
18.7%
Draw
61.9%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Sheffield Weds
vs
2.31
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS63.5%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.586.6%
Over 2.568.7%
Over 3.547.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.5%
1-1
8.0%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.3%
0-1
6.9%
0-3
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
2-1
5.1%
2-3
4.5%
1-4
4.2%
1-0
3.8%
0-4
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).